The President of Somalia is preparing to launch a new military campaign against Shabaab, the Islamist armed group that has threatened the country’s security for years. This renewed offensive comes at a critical time, with the presidential election just one year away.
In 2022, the government’s first major offensive against Shabaab sparked hope across the country. The military, supported by local militias and international partners, made significant gains. However, the group has since regrouped in rural areas and continues to carry out deadly attacks. Now, the President is determined to weaken Shabaab once again, aiming to secure key regions and restore stability.
Unlike the previous campaign, this new offensive will heavily rely on local militias, commonly known as “Macawisley.” These militias, made up of clan fighters, have played an essential role in pushing back Shabaab in many regions. The government hopes their knowledge of the terrain and local dynamics will give them an advantage in the fight.
“We are working closely with local communities to ensure that this campaign is successful,” a senior government official told reporters. “The cooperation between the military and local militias will be key to driving Shabaab out of its remaining strongholds.”
The Somali government is also seeking more support from its international partners, including the African Union Transition Mission in Somalia (ATMIS) and the United States. The President has urged allies to provide military assistance, intelligence-sharing, and logistical support.
Security analysts believe that while military operations are necessary, a long-term strategy is crucial to preventing Shabaab from regrouping. “Military campaigns alone will not defeat Shabaab,” said a Mogadishu-based analyst. “The government must also focus on governance, economic development, and reconciliation to win the support of the population.”
With the next presidential election approaching, the success of this campaign could play a major role in shaping the political landscape. Many voters see security as a top priority, and a strong offensive against Shabaab could boost the president’s standing. However, failure to achieve tangible results could damage public confidence in his leadership.
Residents of Mogadishu and other cities are watching closely. “We need security so we can live in peace,” said a shop owner in the capital. “If the government can defeat Shabaab, then people will have more trust in them.”
The coming months will be crucial as Somalia’s forces, together with local militias and international allies, prepare for this decisive campaign. Many hope that this effort will finally bring lasting peace to the country.
